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Time to predict Idol's Top 12

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Top 24Now that we have a complete list of American Idol's Top 24, it's time to try to predict who will make the Top 12. I'll admit it's a bit early to make educated predictions. After all, how do we judge contestants we've never seen sing?

Honestly, this initial list is really just a compilation based on "gut feelings" or "first impressions." Let's face it, we're totally judging books by their covers.

I feel sorry for those contestants (like last year's Melissa McGhee), who once again lacked exposure early on and thus are fighting an uphill battle against some of their higher profile competitors. But truth is that America is going to vote for contestants with personality. If you didn't stand out and make an impression early -- chances are, you aren't going to. Reality TV is all about creating likable, loveable, interesting, quirky, and entertaining characters. And you can't just have talent, you need to play the game.

Right now, a lot of people already love the always-witty Chris Sligh, but are saying "Who the heck is Stephanie Edwards?" Hopefully, after everyone has had a chance to sing next week, we'll be able to make a more educated prediction of the Top 10. But for now, let's have a little fun.

My predictions for Top 12 (in no apparent order):

1. Gina Glocksen
2. Melinda Doolittle
3. Alaina Alexander
4. Lakisha Jones
5. Stephanie Edwards
6. Nicole Tranquila
7. Chris Sligh
8. Sundance Head
9. Sanjaya Malakar
10. Rudy Cardenas
11. Brandon Rogers
12. Paul Kim

Regarding the girls: Gina seems to have the strongest personality right now for the girls, and I think she'll hold her own in the next couple of weeks. Even though we haven't really met Nicole, I'm putting her on my list anyway to mix things up. I think Antonella may have been "overexposed" and negative backlash will send her home early. Especially since many of her performances have seemed "shaky" at best, and I'm not sure she'll keep up once competition begins. I think Alaina and Haley are interchangeable in this slot. They will appeal to a certain segment of the audience, just not me. There's something about Jordin Sparks I simply like. And I obviously only saw two seconds of Leslie "dimples' Hunt, Sabrina Sloan, and Amy Krebs, but nothing immediately grabbed my attention. Stephanie reminded me of Fantasia, so she could make a lasting impression next week.

Regarding the boys: I'm actually frustrated that some of the guys have advanced because I've been unimpressed with their generic personalities and performances. The ones I won't miss include, Chris, Nick, or Phil. I can't really judge A.J. or Jared, but I'm keeping them off my list for now. Chris and Sundance are sure things. Brandon has failed to impress me singing-wise, but he's very photogenic and likable. Sanjaya and Paul certainly stand out in the crowd enough to get them to the Top 12, even though they may not last long once they get there. And Rudy could really surprise us. Finally, Blake has seemed like a novelty act this whole time with his "beatboxing." I don't think he's advancing much farther.

That's my list. I'm probably wrong. I usually am. I have no idea how America is going to vote. And my crystal ball is broken. It's way too early to determine who is going to come out of the gates strong or become America's next sweetheart. For now, it's just fun to guess.

What do you think? List your Top 12 in the comments section. And let's try to play nice. No need to bash each other in the comments because we have different lists and different preferences.

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